People were worried about crime and the failure to secure the southern border. Their views on the economy were overwhelmingly negative, reflecting inflation at the highest level in four decades and real wages declining. Voters also expressed profound unhappiness with the direction of the country. This year Republicans had the added advantage of President Biden’s 42 percent approval rating. Republicans picked up 54 seats in the House of Representatives midway through Bill Clinton’s first term, and 63 seats two years into Barack Obama’s. The party of the incumbent president usually does poorly, especially in the incumbent president’s first term. Heading into Tuesday, the conditions that traditionally shape midterm elections strongly favored Republicans.
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